Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 7.384207 8.617125 9.947334 11.483840 13.204163 15.065385 17.225627
2025-04-20 5.995861 7.620988 9.490459 11.781538 14.494082 17.583372 21.346802
2025-04-27 5.021583 6.867647 9.109240 11.992975 15.562948 19.794705 25.143718
2025-05-04 4.208644 6.156621 8.640621 11.976284 16.268102 21.530976 28.390984
2025-05-11 3.385961 5.298654 7.858427 11.441216 16.222331 22.272947 30.384811
2025-05-18 2.853279 4.750279 7.402620 11.253875 16.559142 23.456854 32.926925
2025-05-25 2.396461 4.241482 6.933595 10.982344 16.728782 24.389449 35.138562
2025-06-01 2.054359 3.854623 6.589133 10.837414 17.033251 25.480856 37.565788
2025-06-08 1.734017 3.455060 6.178136 10.548008 17.093826 26.215610 39.510018
2025-06-15 1.543499 3.242915 6.029112 10.626200 17.669738 27.665888 42.460846
2025-06-22 1.349559 2.996568 5.797556 10.551050 18.000865 28.766570 44.943684
2025-06-29 1.217869 2.844021 5.702363 10.676077 18.627356 30.299848 48.070272
2025-07-06 1.097696 2.698413 5.607086 10.795604 19.253504 31.861122 51.299070
2025-07-13 1.022127 2.629952 5.638125 11.120980 20.209532 33.934956 55.323705
2025-07-20 0.939479 2.534840 5.610791 11.341361 21.002030 35.782827 59.062246
2025-07-27 0.836690 2.380951 5.459268 11.333370 21.418499 37.066376 61.992821
2025-08-03 0.689626 2.102875 5.042772 10.824785 20.980170 37.011867 62.907643
2025-08-10 0.597109 1.934625 4.821475 10.646977 21.076256 37.779199 65.071676
2025-08-17 0.509015 1.760164 4.567991 10.387829 21.014265 38.285289 66.837853
2025-08-24 0.442428 1.627763 4.387002 10.249462 21.148250 39.099916 69.092072
2025-08-31 0.373968 1.475315 4.145085 9.972802 21.019733 39.477378 70.662766
2025-09-07 0.337939 1.408011 4.084320 10.047621 21.518326 40.889976 73.893828
2025-09-14 0.296651 1.315747 3.956130 9.975779 21.743792 41.852122 76.424786